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Weekly Wrap Up March 5 2010 - Appraisers Call a "Time Out" to the Zillow Craze PDF Print E-mail
Colorado Springs Homes For Sale - Weekly Wrap-Up
Wednesday, 10 March 2010 16:46
A recent report published by the Appraisal Institute states that Zillow isn't really all that accurate in estimating home values and is typically over estimating by 10%.   Zillow is a website launched in 2006 which maps neighborhoods and pulls data from appraisal district data, MLS, and local assessor files.  The availability of real time data plus the ability to even access the data is an underlying problem.  The proprietary Zillow program collects data from a variety of sources on home sale prices and models typical prices for a home.  The formula works fairly well in a stable market but cannot pick up nuances of micro-markets or take into account some of the recent challenges faced by markets that have vacant homes or foreclosures.  The Appraisal Institute is the national professional organization for appraisers and has closely followed Zillow in an effort to determine how close actual appraised value and the Zillow estimates come.  The report is a little heavy but an interesting read.  One of the more interesting sections of the reports discusses ...

homeowner expectations and finds that homeowners typically overvalue their home by 5%. 

 

A week ago the general consensus was that interest rates were going to remain above 5% due to increased pressure on the mortgage market.  Not so fast because the rates fell again below 5% to close last week at 4.97% for a 30 year fixed rate residential mortgage.  The 15 year fixed rate is at 4.33%.  At this point, it is safe to assume that traditional rules do not apply to the markets; rather the markets are reacting to whatever is the strongest force du jour.  Hang onto your hats!  Low interest rates are great to encourage buyers to jump in the market. 

 

The Chinese real estate market is beginning to show signs of temperament following months of efforts by the Chinese government to calm the runaway markets.  The markets responded vigorously to government support of the industry which was injected a couple of years ago.  Unfortunately double digit annual price increases and risky lending has many concerned that the stimulus is causing an unintended real estate bubble.  Stricter lending requirements and more expensive loans are expected to slow the growth so that it will be about 10% less than last year.  Additional programs are being rolled out to ensure affordable housing is available.  Chinese investors have continued to find bargains in the United States' distressed sale market.  Runaway growth has fueled the investment in the U.S.  Long term retention of investors within China will help break the bursting bubble. 


Joe Boylan
Written on Wednesday, 10 March 2010 16:46 by Joe Boylan

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