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Weekly Wrap-Up - June 18, 2010 - From Double Dipping to BP’s role in Gulf Coast Real Estate Markets PDF Print E-mail
Colorado Springs Homes For Sale - Finance
Friday, 25 June 2010 11:11
Starting with a broad look at real estate market, Freddie Mac has announced measures to provide relief to Gulf Coast homeowners impacted by the recent oil disaster in the Gulf of Mexico.   The concern stems from an expectation that thousands of families will be without income and potentially entering a state of delinquency on mortgages.  Given the environmental factors, a rush of foreclosed homes in a potentially undesirable area would be devastating for locals and mortgage services.  Freddie Mac has forbearance policies which allow lenders who service guaranteed loans to recommend twelve months of forbearance in qualifying circumstances such as this disaster. Given the uncertainty of the regional economy, this is welcome news for the many communities whose real estate markets have only recently stabilized from Hurricane Katrina and the recent housing collapse. Ending the reporting week of June 24, 2010, mortgage brokers are reporting to Freddie Mac that the average rate on a fixed rate 30 year mortgage is 4.69% and a 15 year mortgage is 4.13%.  Both require roughly 0.7 of a point down to get the rate.  Rates are at record lows; so is closing activity.  These numbers typically have an inverse relationship.  When we say record lows, we aren’t kidding.  MSN reports these rates are the lowest seen in over 54 years. Who is buying right now?  The National Association of Realtors reports that 46% of all closings in May were first time homebuyers....

These buyers were scrambling to take advantage of the expiring First Time Homebuyer Credit which expired April 30.  The majority of loan activity is refinancing; nearly 74% of all mortgage applicants right now are seeking refi’s. The move-up market is pretty much at a standstill for the foreseeable future.  The market over $417,000 market is at a standstill with buyers few and far between.  The silver lining to this is that the remainder of 2010 and 2011 will continue to be a good time to buy a home if the buyer is in a solid financial position.  As stimulus funds which artificially propped the market expire, we will be seeing some uncomfortable bumping along for the remainder of the year as the free market forces find equilibrium.

 

Just the facts, please…Our readers know that the foreclosure activity has impacted home values.  Compounded by tight credit, home values across the Pikes Peak region have followed a crazy roller coaster ride but generally demonstrated a decline.  For the majority of areas, 2009 was the lowest of the troughs with a slight gain 2010 bringing values back to 2008 levels.  Mirroring this pattern is the number of homes sold.  As of May 30, 3,439 homes were sold according to the PPMLS.  This is a gain of 14% over the same period in 2009 and virtually flat compared to 2008 which saw 3,424 homes sold.  What is uncertain is if this gain will be lost over the remainder of 2010; this loss would be the result of the housing market slumping into a feared double dip.  Local chatter in the real estate community indicates that June and July numbers are coming in lower than what it would take to sustain the double digit gain seen so far this year.  We hope to see a slight bounce in August but can’t bet on it yet! Locally, real estate related companies such as title are beginning to shed jobs because upcoming closing activity is quickly slowing down.  Industry analysts are nervous about openly stating the second dip of the real estate recession has begun, but, are whispering it.

 

 

If considering the sale of your home, understanding how long it takes for listings to generally sell is gained through a study of days on market.  Days on market calculates the difference between the list date and closing date.  This number, across our community, continues to decline.  At its peak, the average DOM was over 100 days.  At present, the average DOM is 81 days.  This number is truly an average because most homes take substantially less or more to sell.  The key points for success include pricing, condition and location.  Often, if a house doesn’t receive a contract within the first thirty days of listings, it will take much longer to sell.  Old Colorado City posts the lowest days on market hovering in the 45 days or less category.  Northgate is the slowest moving area at 137 days.  Listing discount across the area hovers around 2%; a huge improvement off the near 4% seen in the most downward days of the recession.  Listing discount is the difference between list price and final closing price.  As buyers and sellers have come closer in their expectations of the market, we have seen an expected decline in average listing discount.


Joe Boylan
Written on Friday, 25 June 2010 11:11 by Joe Boylan

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